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20121101
20121130
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Search Results 0 to 26 of about 27 (some duplicates have been removed)
. in nevada, the white vote was down because it was 19%. nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm going to slide this little barrier. the darker the colors, the higher the latino population. nevada, colorado, new mexico, florida, you can find other places as well up into the midwest. the republicans don't solve this problem. this is a crisis for the republican party. >> it certainly is. we're going to talk more about texas in a bit because i see that orange there. what about women? i know this war on women fight, a lot of people wondered whether it would be effective, but when it actually happened -- >> in a word, yes. >> romney did not
the difference. connell: you think nevada colorado go to obama and he still wins ohio? >> yes. i am not perfect but the hispanic vote, obviously the storm is a massive tragedy to slow the governor's momentum. the president looked presidential. those two factors will make the difference. connell: looking at the possibilipossibili ty is the rest of the hour but the economic course 10 the former energy secretary, gas prices every day at the all-time high on election day. that have a negative effect at all for the president? >> and not think the voters blame presidents for gas prices. and has been going down. he does have a strong commitment to renewable energy. i think it is awash. >> the hispanic vote turns out. thank you for coming on today governor richardson. dagen: the all-time high by $0.3 per is close. brett baier is here. >> good morning. dagen: what will you look at tonight's the people will not talking about turn out to and states? >> we will have an early sense with virginia at 7:00 p.m. we will have exit poll numbers to give us a sense with ed dead heat depending on how that chefs. dag
: what about early voting in nevada? >> both colorado and nevada are early voting states. 80% of registered voters are vote. 56%, nevada. the gop is battling harry reid's political machine. a growing population has a voting edge of -- voting edge of 90,000. despite obama's 2-point statewide lead they can make it up in reno and democratic turnout, early voting is down 5 points over 2008. martha: thanks, william. bill: we heard for several years that the economy is issue number one for you at home. if that's the case, how does this race break today? fair and balanced debate on that in a moment. martha: a handful of swing states that will likely determine the outcome of this election. which states fall into that category and why? bill: the race seems to be tightening by the day. why does one political analyst predict a landslide. >> you watched what happened in this country the last four years with an interview. you hope that president obama would live up with his promise to bring people together, to solve the big problems. he hasn't. i will. [cheers and applause] but don't just
think we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, we're going to win nevada, we're going to win new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. >> don't just vote. bring your mom. bring your dad. bring your cousin. knock on the door of your neighbor. because let me tell you something, the middle class depends on it. it literally depends on it. >> the vice president took on mitt romney's latest lie about jeep sending jobs to china. >> scare the hell -- scare the heck out of these people and it's flat false. absolutely flat fall. it's the most cynical play i've seen and, you know, there is an editorial in the denver post saying this goes to character. it's not just a lie, but it goes to character. >> while most of the attention is on ohio, a record breaking crowd gathered in concord, new hampshire. president obama was joined by one of the best retail politicians in the business. former president bill clinton. >> 20 years and nine months ago, new hampshire began the chance for me to become president. i have worked very hard in this campaign
, who is showing up, who is casting ballots and in states like ohio, iowa, nevada, florida, we are doing very, very well. what they are doing is comparing this to 2008 and you and i have thish this discussion, i am not suggesting we will win by the same margin of 2008. they are comparing themselves to john mccain with no ground operation in many of these states. so they will do better than mechanic cane did. we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but we are doing well enough to win this race. >> chris: in florida, where president obama is down by more than a point in the polls. and yet, you are advertising by the campaign there, in florida. why not in the state you must win? >> first of all, we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been a spate of polls in all of these battleground polls in the last 48 hours, i think we are ahead in 90% of them, including florida. there have been a couple of mixed polls in florida, but we are very pleased with the early voting there. we believe we will go into an election day with a -- with a large lead. we are very competitive in f
make of virginia? what do you make of wisconsin? what do you make of colorado, nevada, iowa, new hampshire? >> well, look, the easiest way to look at this is even if you look at the real clear politics average which includes a lot of the goofy quinnipiac poles and marist polls. the republicans are winning, indiana,, north carolina, virginia and florida. in fact, if you take a look at that all of the mccain states plus 30s that they are waning and i do think they are going to win, republicans are going to win all four of these states. is they are at 248. then you look at ohio which i think the early vote numbers are clear indication of of what is going to happen in ohio. that s another 18 electoral votes. and then colorado which is, you know, is in the rcp average just under water, 9/10 of a percent. but that is largely because of a couple of outliar polls that have huge numbers more democrats than republicans. i think we are going to win colorado and that gets you 275. and we are going to pick up out of ohio, new hampshire, nevada or minnesota, pennsylvania or wisconsin we are go
map look up? >> i object to the tossups. a bunch of the states aren't tossup. nevada, i put it in the democratic column. a tossup. there it is. >> these were the rules. >> exactly. but you made the rules. owe didn't deliver your own map. >> 285 for romney 253 for obama. romney carries mccain state and florida. i thinkness and wisconsin, potential pennsylvania are knife's edge states. inness, up for nevada. >> i think significantly and we have, there are true tossups we can argue. we agree on 46 states. roughly. there are only four states we disagree about. >> again, if you believe the turn-out miles that most poll show, obama would win by 300. five states. >> yeah. >> colorado, iowa, virginia, ohio, new hampshire. otherwise we agree. when we're forced to -- >> wrap up with this. we do this ipad app. >> so we want to pick some closest. the closeest to karl is mark alcott who had the same map. if you put it up, we will send mark something. what are we sending anymore >> out graphed copy of my book. >> okay. there you go. >> i'm sending one to him, too. closest to joe's map is
in nevada and colorado. nevada is a pathway to 270 without ohio. i think the post-mortem on this is that -- if the republicans don't win, a look a thow they dealt with the latino vote and the language they used and the perception that is created. the latino vote is one of the pillars of the obama strategy. and a big turnout like the president said -- this is a reason why he wins. he was playing the analyst and acts like he doesn't do it publically. >> the best visual we've seen about the changing face of american politics -- the percentage of the vote white voters make up. it is down 3-4 points each election adn this will continue a long time. it was a reality they could blow off but they can't win without improving those numbers. >> you saw rubio try to do that -- >> and -- it was such a moment. really. and if we see, if republicans are serious about that, they will get serious about immigration reform. >> i will make a prediction if romney doesn't win. this is the last time we see a major party ticket with two white men on it. it will be almost automatic you have
. >> that's plan c. wisconsin and iowa, colorado, new hampshire and nevada were plan b. >> one of them is gone. let's talk about florida. because you guys have been numbers crunching like crazy. it's interesting to comparing them to what they were four years ago. what is your sense, karl? identified that miami-dade and broward counties and palm beach the democratic strongholds in the south. obama is doing better in those. he is doing a little less than big urban centers of the i4 corridor. tampa saint peter and orlando and less well in the urban counties in the i4 corridors and worse in the southwest corner of the state and up in the north. the real one is the panhandle where he is running further behind where he did four years ago. walton county got 26% of the vote. now 23.7% of the vote. romney is getting 3 1/2 points better than -- but this race right now is settled. million people having voted is 2000 votes apart. i think at the end of the day it's about-- in--t me brin >> this has been going back and forth. the interesting thing is in the counties where obama is doing a s doing or
new hampshire, pennsylvania, wisconsin, iowa, colorado, nevada, any of those. >> five. >> in the 3-2-1 strategy be virginia is one of the three. if you don't win virginia, how much of a problem? >> they're blocked. that is the strategy -- a lot of the electoral strategy was to block romney in the 3-2-1. can they block him in ohio and win that? can they block him in virginia? if they win virginia or ohio, either one, starts to make it tough. unless some other -- you start to change the strategy. >> quickly, virginia must-win for romney? >> it would be great to win it. historically republican. the opposite strategy is not only focus on 3-2-1 but keep broadening the battlefield. wisconsin, pennsylvania, iowa, colorado, nevada, new hampshire, minnesota. states that come in to play at one time or another. and so you would never want to be only have, one group of states you want as many alternatives as possible. insurance policies if you will. >> so, space cowboys you can stand down for a moment and crumple numbers. calling your sources. bret, it's 3-2-1 or it isn't. >> bret: there you g
for responsive politics. in only one of those races, in nevada, did the republican candidate prevail. rove's awful election night proved that you can't buy momentum or create it simply by decreeing it and that there's a boundary to what bluster accomplishes. the road he zoomed down in 2012 was toward a potentially diminished place in his party. john heilemann, go ahead. do you agree? >> well, there's -- >> what? say it! >> there's just a lot to say -- >> why do you have a problem with this? >> no, there's a lot to say about karl. i think in the senate races, look. karl did not choose the candidates in the senate races across the country. the outside groups that went into these congressional races, you're kind of stuck with who you've got. you didn't pick todd akin, richard mourdock, he didn't run the campaign of george allen in virginia. he's an independent expenditure. on some level those campaigns, you know, he could go in and try to provide air support, but you're not the strategist for those campaigns. you don't pick the candidate. the presidential race, there's no question this proves
Search Results 0 to 26 of about 27 (some duplicates have been removed)

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